Understanding trends in family formation trajectories: An application of Competing Trajectories Analysis (CTA)

TitreUnderstanding trends in family formation trajectories: An application of Competing Trajectories Analysis (CTA)
Type de publicationJournal Article
Year of Publication2018
AuteursStuder, M, Liefbroer, AC, Mooyaart, JE
JournalAdvances in Life Course Research
Volume36
Pagination1-12
Date Published06/2018
ISSN1040-2608
Mots-clésevent history analysis, Family formation, Secularization, sequence analysis, Youth unemployment
Résumé

Over the past 50 years, family formation trajectories have undergone major changes in the events that occur as well as in the timing and order of these events. Whereas previous studies showed when and how these shifts occur, not much research has been conducted to test why these changes have taken place. This paper tests two possible explanations, namely cultural (secularization) and economic (youth unemployment) change using the Fertility and Family survey of the Netherlands conducted in 2008. We also employed a new method, Competing Trajectories Analysis (CTA), which combines features of sequence analysis and event history analysis, to examine the relationship between secularization and youth unemployment and pathways into adulthood. Our results show that the start of family formation is postponed in times of high secularization and youth unemployment, when pathways including early marriage and parenthood become less popular, and cohabiting without having children becomes more popular.

URLhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040260818300285
DOI10.1016/j.alcr.2018.02.003